Public Consensus PredictionTM
Initiated by: B.D.

Public verdict: There'll be more telemedicine, online K-12 classes, working from home, etc. “COVID-19 will sweep away many of the artificial barriers to moving more of our lives online...It turns out, an awful lot of meetings (and doctors' appointments and classes) really could have been an email. And now they will be.” — Katherine Mangu-Ward, editor-in-chief of Reason magazine.
18 jurors voted to form this verdict and were awarded 360 RHU. Check your balance to see if you qualified. Log in
Case description
Thought leaders share their predictions. Vote for the one you think is most important and most likely to happen, and earn Rhu
63 total voters
How the public voted
Verdict
18 votes
"There'll be more telemedicine, online K-12 classes, working from home, etc. “COVID-19 will sweep away many of the artificial barriers to moving more of our lives online...It turns out, an awful lot of meetings (and doctors' appointments and classes) really could have been an email. And now they will be.” — Katherine Mangu-Ward, editor-in-chief of Reason magazine."
15 votes
"We'll prioritize social infrastructure: “When this ends, we will reorient our politics and make substantial new investments in public goods—for health, especially—and public services. I don't think we will become less communal. Instead, we will be better able to see how our fates are linked. The cheap burger I eat from a restaurant that denies paid sick leave to its cashiers and kitchen staff makes me more vulnerable to illness…” — Eric Klinenberg, director of the Institute for Public Knowledge at New York University and author of Palaces for the People."
10 votes
"Manufacturing will skew closer to home, and with fewer stops: “Companies will now rethink and shrink the multistep, multicountry supply chains that dominate production today...Governments will intervene as well, forcing what they consider strategic industries to have domestic backup plans and reserves. Profitability will fall, but supply stability should rise.” — Shannon K. O'Neil, senior fellow for Latin America Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations and author of Two Nations Indivisible."
09 votes
"Investments will change. “There will be a lower ROI on investment assets. Share buyback, dividends and market cap shrinkage will diminish greatly. Public and private corporations will deleverage and hold more cash, likely reducing stock market returns over the next decade. This may be imposed by bailouts or simply market forces.” —Mark Deuitch, recovering investment banker and founder of PeopleClaim.com and Rhubarb."
06 votes
"Potential employees and investors will be able to look at how companies responded to the COVID-19 crisis as a metric for company values. This may influence their decision to work for or invest in the company."
04 votes
"Expertise will once again be important. “The COVID-19 crisis...has already forced people back to accepting that expertise matters. It was easy to sneer at experts until a pandemic arrived, and then people wanted to hear from medical professionals like Anthony Fauci.” — Tom Nichols, National security expert and the author of the The Death of Expertise."
01 votes
"Advanced practice healthcare practitioners (e.g. nurse practitioners, genetic counselors, etc.) will gain more autonomy in response to physician shortage."
See who voted: 5 jury categories.View more

What happens next

Disputing parties will be invited to resolve the matter based on this public verdict. If the parties have agreed beforehand to use the results to arbitrate the case the verdict will be binding. If not, the results are nonbinding but can be used as input to guide further negotiation. Depending on the case, results may be distributed to other interested parties such as regulators and media.